Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 66.253268 74.926200 83.824697 93.604587 104.019577 114.749662 126.610231
2025-06-22 53.639389 66.132479 79.555298 94.915522 111.879362 129.925833 150.461886
2025-06-29 44.844106 59.233638 75.255429 94.140480 115.534584 138.788985 165.753896
2025-07-06 37.258053 52.674357 70.437053 91.950347 116.876023 144.472863 176.979076
2025-07-13 34.203062 50.992142 70.848182 95.380977 124.263816 156.653743 195.215194
2025-07-20 30.996411 48.740712 70.271804 97.383591 129.780606 166.537027 210.717443
2025-07-27 27.138396 45.276451 67.907443 96.978303 132.250004 172.739862 221.871463
2025-08-03 23.634715 41.931772 65.415933 96.178631 134.051527 178.008682 231.817734
2025-08-10 21.149389 39.720559 64.174177 96.760514 137.382956 184.970547 243.650252
2025-08-17 18.485201 37.002353 62.076732 96.102851 139.073513 189.890822 253.016093
2025-08-24 16.457532 35.008249 60.790829 96.356080 141.787694 195.959853 263.680234
2025-08-31 14.249614 32.519800 58.669246 95.392301 142.881392 200.001263 271.880417
2025-09-07 12.975346 31.393181 58.388763 96.837762 147.031224 207.804902 284.664469
2025-09-14 11.848363 30.395051 58.220758 98.388398 151.293238 215.744892 297.631518
2025-09-21 10.189748 28.314981 56.364136 97.562552 152.439017 219.809139 305.893455
2025-09-28 8.374403 25.716245 53.576417 95.331576 151.666934 221.428290 311.135135
2025-10-05 8.079672 25.886129 54.938154 98.833773 158.357454 232.316262 327.654845
2025-10-12 7.485301 25.413101 55.275281 100.878326 163.125851 240.807250 341.261811
2025-10-19 6.437870 23.903663 53.914904 100.464585 164.609272 245.157723 349.787646
2025-10-26 5.429801 22.313050 52.325279 99.648243 165.502727 248.727533 357.328166
2025-11-02 4.774718 21.384974 51.744021 100.242264 168.251884 254.624820 367.728447
2025-11-09 3.988645 20.008533 50.337934 99.570880 169.253430 258.274167 375.330684
2025-11-16 3.425710 19.061516 49.591981 99.829397 171.485807 263.475359 384.849453